Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.275197 0.320160 0.371934 0.436365 0.514960 0.608437 0.729105
2025-08-03 0.209148 0.266666 0.340928 0.445627 0.592376 0.795349 1.105729
2025-08-10 0.170056 0.231124 0.316655 0.448890 0.655186 0.977505 1.547110
2025-08-17 0.144069 0.205566 0.297290 0.449903 0.709918 1.160780 2.067963
2025-08-24 0.124630 0.184895 0.279484 0.446757 0.753997 1.338005 2.662262
2025-08-31 0.109071 0.167097 0.262123 0.439101 0.786133 1.502338 3.317695
2025-09-07 0.099959 0.157969 0.256990 0.451147 0.858002 1.772999 4.390709
2025-09-14 0.089441 0.144813 0.242458 0.441953 0.883239 1.949617 5.339121
2025-09-21 0.082425 0.136694 0.235562 0.446144 0.938701 2.222939 6.805089
2025-09-28 0.075839 0.128440 0.227053 0.445047 0.981470 2.482577 8.472233
2025-10-05 0.071757 0.124249 0.225694 0.459103 1.066266 2.905736 11.271330
2025-10-12 0.067777 0.119730 0.222955 0.469390 1.144775 3.353649 14.814392
2025-10-19 0.064011 0.115291 0.219966 0.479136 1.227632 3.876398 19.719144
2025-10-26 0.060955 0.111931 0.218842 0.493533 1.331031 4.553646 27.146936
2025-11-02 0.057476 0.107301 0.214261 0.498082 1.405950 5.175615 35.944030
2025-11-09 0.054140 0.102604 0.208881 0.499411 1.471510 5.814210 47.149167
2025-11-16 0.050840 0.097639 0.202226 0.495875 1.519484 6.414753 60.578177
2025-11-23 0.047569 0.092416 0.194308 0.487190 1.546044 6.933700 75.755334
2025-11-30 0.045837 0.090412 0.193911 0.500871 1.666668 8.129836 110.038778
2025-12-07 0.043004 0.085667 0.186155 0.490429 1.684908 8.709647 137.855984
2025-12-14 0.041157 0.083003 0.183342 0.495189 1.772082 9.881085 194.124343
2025-12-21 0.039180 0.079863 0.178933 0.493943 1.832900 10.950520 265.332975
2025-12-28 0.038092 0.078704 0.179579 0.509914 1.984379 13.011775 427.581221